For decades, the Volta Region has been the National Democratic Congress’s most loyal electoral fortress — a place where party support was less a choice than a tradition. But new polling data suggests that fortress may be developing cracks.
Mussa Dankwah, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, is sounding the alarm. Speaking on Accra FM on Tuesday, the veteran pollster delivered a message that should give NDC strategists pause: the party can no longer afford to treat its traditional strongholds as a guaranteed reserve of votes.
“They can’t take anybody for granted,” Dankwah stated plainly.
The warning is backed by hard numbers. According to findings from Global InfoAnalytics’ first-quarter 2026 tracking poll, 23% of respondents in the Volta Region now identify as floating voters — a striking figure for a constituency the NDC has long considered safe territory. One in four Volta voters, in other words, is no longer anchored to any party.
The poll, conducted between March 5 and March 23, 2026, surveyed 12,472 voters through face-to-face interviews, phone calls, and online responses. It carries a 99% confidence level and a margin of error of approximately 1.4% — lending the findings considerable statistical weight.
Interior Minister Makes The Process Of Gun Licensing Tough
Dankwah was careful to frame the 23% not as evidence of NDC collapse, but as a red flag against complacency. Ghana’s political landscape, he argued, is becoming increasingly fluid, and parties that rely on historical loyalty rather than active voter engagement do so at their own peril.
The message is particularly pointed for the ruling government: demographic shifts and evolving voter behaviour demand continuous attention, not periodic courtship during election season.
These are not one-off findings, either. Global InfoAnalytics conducts its tracking polls quarterly — “rain or shine,” as Dankwah put it — meaning the trend will be closely watched in the months ahead, with 2028 already on the horizon.
For the NDC, the Volta Region’s floating voter surge is less a crisis than a warning shot. The question now is whether the party is listening.